2025 Ireland construction trends
Industry report
Key trends that are reshaping the future of Ireland's construction market, and impacting construction insurance risks
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2024 has been a challenging year for Ireland’s construction sector due to the shortage of skilled labour, rising costs and uncertainties in project timelines and contracts. The cost of labour and raw materials remain the catalyst for growing pressure across all construction sub sectors as many contractors battle year-on-year increases to pricing, which is squeezing profit margins.
Overall, construction activity has been flat, influenced by a decline in the commercial sector as a result of the rising number of vacant offices. However, Ireland's unprecedented demand for new homes, driven by population growth and urbanisation, should galvanise opportunities in the residential sector to fulfil the government's ambition to deliver 50,500 housing units annually between 2025 and 2030.
Whilst growth expectations could be tempered due to continued inflationary pressures and project delays, Ireland’s construction sector is anticipated to bounce back in 2025 as commercial and housing projects gain momentum. Contractors are also set to invest further in modern, more sustainable methods of construction to boost productivity and improve their carbon footprint.
This report will consider the key trends that are influencing the market’s prospects and impacting construction insurance risks, from the small tool theft epidemic to the modern technologies which could enable the high demand for residential housing.
Skills shortages influencing commercial construction costs
Rising wages due to a shortage of skilled workers will continue to influence commercial construction costs and could hinder Ireland's ambitious targets to build an average of 50,500 homes a year until 2029. According to the BNP Paribas' latest Construction Purchasing Managers Index, wages have risen from -2.2% to +11.7% in the last 12 months, indicating stronger competition to recruit scarce labour in the sector.1
According to a study conducted by The Build Up Skills Ireland, the industry needs to recruit nearly 120,000 skilled construction workers and reskill more than 160,000 by 2030 to meet Ireland’s housing and climate targets. However, the demand for bricklayers, carpenters, plasterers, and painters and decorators may decrease if there is widespread adoption of more modern methods of construction which are more productive than traditional building methods.2
Commercial construction tender prices rose by 1.5% in the first half of 2024, with over three-quarters (78%) of quantity surveyors anticipating that tender prices will continue to increase. 20.5% expect prices to remain the same, while only 1.5% foresee a decrease. But whilst Ireland's national rate of commercial construction price inflation is now running at 3%, it has eased considerably in recent years, falling from 6.2% in June 2023 and 11.5% throughout the whole of 2022.3
This positive development is reflected by a more competitive commercial construction market, reduced-price volatility for construction materials, along with reductions in energy and fuel costs. The ongoing risk of skills shortages though is most likely to drive up the cost of construction in the future unless new entrants such as plumbers, electricians and steel erectors are attracted to the industry.
Commercial construction tender price index
Tender price increase
Tips
- Construction firms should review their insurance cover to determine whether they are suitably covered for the implications of unforeseen events
- Price escalation clauses help contractors manage these risks by allowing for adjustments in costs due to unforeseen circumstances
- Continually scour the supply chain, and review partners as much as suppliers to control costs and ensure relationships remain collaborative and productive
Small tool theft epidemic fuelled by cost-of-living crisis
Small tool theft has been a longstanding challenge in the construction industry and has now reached epidemic proportions driven, in part, by Ireland's cost-of-living crisis. Although the rate of inflation is falling, prices in Ireland are the second highest in EU, standing 42% above the average, creating challenging living standards and financial pressures for many.4
It is estimated that over €100,000 worth of tools are being stolen from tradespeople every month by criminal gangs, who then sell them on at markets in border counties. Small tools, such as portable power tools, survey equipment and hand tools, are particularly vulnerable to being stolen as they are often seen as easy targets. Members from one particular gang have been linked to a €600,000 crime spree alone across six counties throughout Ireland.5
According to research, seven in ten tradespeople have had their tools stolen, with over a third stating the value of tools stolen was in excess of €3,000. Two thirds of contractors have experienced theft from vehicles, while 51% have had tools stolen from a construction site during a job.6
The frequency of tool thefts is having a significant financial impact on the construction sector due to the cost of replacing stolen items, having to borrow money or take out a loan to do so, in addition to delaying or postponing jobs altogether. Despite this, 82% admitted to not having their tools insured and 70% don’t safely store their tools in lockable tool chests, which are more likely to prevent theft.6
Tips
- The increased financial impact of tool theft is likely to drive demand towards more comprehensive insurance coverage tailored to the needs of construction tradespeople. Insurance brokers can help their customers to review their policies to determine if they are covered for the cost of replacing or repairing tools if they are lost, damaged or stolen
- To aid recovery in the event of tools being stolen, tools should be marked with unique identifiers (e.g. permanent corporate colours with distinctive livery markings, together with combinations of letters and numbers using permanent markers/ultraviolet pens)
- Compile a complete list of tools containing essential information such as model number, serial number, date code and purchase receipt, which is required for police reports and vital for processing insurance claims
HSB's plant and equipment loss prevention insights
BIM leading construction’s digital transformation
New legislation will see Building Information Modelling (BIM) lead construction's digital transformation. BIM is a process of creating and managing information using virtual models, which is transforming the way construction projects are planned, designed and managed.
Effective January 2024, the Irish government has mandated that BIM-enabled processes must be integrated into the design and construction phase for large public works projects exceeding €100m. Over a four-year period, this legislation will eventually be expanded to encompass the involvement of consultants and contractors for projects below €1m.7
BIM processes are delivering tangible efficiencies through reduced project design and construction costs, in addition to further savings if BIM is extended into the building management and operation stages. Other benefits of BIM include improved collaboration between construction contractors, reduced errors, and enhanced project visualisation.
Major public sector infrastructure projects which have utilised BIM in recent years include a new children’s hospital in Dublin, the M11 Gorey to Enniscorthy motorway and improvements to Dublin airport.
Top 10 barriers to BIM adoption in Ireland8
Barriers | Ireland | UK |
---|---|---|
Lack of in-house expertise | 74% | 63% |
No client demand | 67% | 65% |
Lack of training | 67% | 59% |
No time to get up to speed | 56% | 48% |
No established BIM contractual framework | 48% | 36% |
Cost | 48% | 51% |
Difference in expertise on a project | 41% | 28% |
Lack of standardised tools and protocols | 41% | 33% |
Don’t see the benefit | 30% | 15% |
Lack of collaboration | 30% | 33% |
Although government initiatives and wider recognition of its potential benefits will drive adoption, Ireland is trailing behind the UK; with a lack of in-house expertise cited as the main barrier to BIM implementation, followed by limited client demand and an absence of training.8
While the implementation of BIM amongst larger contractors is likely to become more widespread due to the pressure to adopt more efficient and sustainable construction practices, smaller construction firms will struggle due to the substantial upfront investment required in software, hardware, and employee training.
Tips
- Greater investment in modern technologies can help construction businesses to proactively manage risks, leading to fewer incidents and claims
- Insurance brokers can help their customers to determine whether they need specialist coverage to management construction-related risks associated with sustainable initiatives
MMC key to meeting ambitious housing targets
Modern Methods of Construction (MMC), such as modular and prefabricated buildings, are expected to play a pivotal role in addressing Ireland’s housing crisis.
The Irish government has recently set a new housing target of building an average of 50,500 homes per year between 2025 and 2030 – an ambitious aim, surpassing the previous target of an average of 33,000 homes for the same period.9
Modular construction is an innovative approach which involves fabricating building components in a factory before assembling them on-site, reducing project timelines by 20% to 50% due to fewer delays caused by poor weather conditions and human error. Despite modest take-up so far, the prefabricated construction market in Ireland is expected to grow by 8.5% annually over the next four years, reaching €2.52bn by 2028.10
Embracing faster, smarter and more efficient MMC methods could be fundamental to meeting the government’s bold plans to build 303,000 new homes by 2030 whilst meeting sustainability targets by using low and zero-carbon materials.
From design to occupancy, prefabricated homes can be constructed in a matter of weeks in comparison to six to 12 months it takes for a traditional home. These time savings could be vital in light of a recent Central Bank report which estimates that between 52,000 and 67,000 new homes could be needed per year to meet emerging demand into the middle of the century.11
Modular construction also requires fewer workers on-site compared to traditional construction method because the majority of the building components are prefabricated in a controlled factory setting. However, off-site prefabricated manufacturing facilities require substantial upfront costs and a constant throughput of work to provide a return on investment.
Benefits | Challenges |
---|---|
Time and cost savings | Substantial upfront costs |
Quicker income generation | Slow return-on-investment due to uncertain demand |
Reduced contractor markups | Restrictive financing |
Improved energy efficiency | Knowledge gaps on fire safety and insulation risks |
Tips
- Insurance brokers should work closely with specialist underwriters and experts in relation to emerging and new technologies so that risks are understood, particularly in relation to fire safety and insulation
3D printing to support drive towards net-zero
Innoovative technology, such as the 3D printing of concrete, could revolutionise construction’s drive towards sustainability by reducing material use and carbon emissions during production methods. 3D printing is a modern method for manufacturing construction elements or entire buildings by means of a 3D printer producing concrete, polymer, or other materials, layer-by-layer.
By optimising material use to reduce wastage for concrete and steel by up to 40%, 3D printing addresses many of the environmental challenges associated with traditional construction methods. In doing so, this approach ensures that the printed materials are used only where they are needed, reducing both weight and embodied carbon.12
From September 2024, Ireland has mandated the use of low-carbon cement for all state-funded construction projects such as roads, schools, and hospitals to support a more sustainable and resilient future. The government’s Climate Action Plan aims to halve emissions by 2030 and reach net-zero by no later than 2050.13
However, Ireland is currently set to reduce its total greenhouse gas emissions by only 29% by 2030, compared with the legally-binding target of 51%, and could face a fine of €8.2bn from the European Parliament based on this current trajectory. 14
In addition to its environmental benefits, 3D printing could be more widely adopted to tackle the country’s continuing housing shortages, with estimates suggesting that 3D concrete printers can help to build homes three-times faster than traditional methods.15
New social housing units in Dundalk will be unveiled as Ireland’s first 3D-printed homes in November 2024. The housing scheme for Grange Close has used 3D printing construction technology to provide three three-bedroom terraced houses, with a floor area of 110m2 over two floors. The pilot project is a collaboration between Louth County Council, Louth and Meath Education and Training Board, Irish-owned Harcourt Technologies and Roadstone.
Tips
- Due to a heightened focus on environmental considerations, contractors' insurance needs may evolve. Businesses should assess whether they need specialist coverage to manage construction-related risks associated with sustainable initiatives
Conclusion
Ireland’s construction output has historically been subject to significant fluctuations, largely influenced by economic cycles, government policies, and external factors such as global financial crises. These factors have been particularly evident throughout the last 12 months, which has been characterised by contrasting swings in mood and activity. In the first quarter of 2024, construction output in Ireland fell by 12.7% from the previous year, marking a fourth consecutive reduction in activity and the sector's sharpest decline in three years.16
But despite the ongoing challenges posed by cost inflation, particularly on materials and wages, Irish construction continues to demonstrate its resilience to driving infrastructure development despite shrinking in real terms by 5.1% this year. Supported by major investments in housing, transport and energy projects, the Irish construction industry is expected to rebound at an average growth rate of 4.7% between 2025 to 2028.17
Modern methods of construction, such as modular and prefabricated buildings, especially when combined with the use of BIM and 3D printing technologies, can support the government's revised housing targets to meet the demands of a growing population and, in doing so, transform its drive towards sustainability. Indeed, the pace of construction of new residential homes in Ireland is predicted to be the highest among 19 counties in Europe according to research network, Euroconstruct.18
Although the challenges ahead remain considerable, there are clear signs that growth in Ireland’s construction market will regain momentum in 2025. By striving to improve efficiency and effectively manage an evolving risk landscape, forward-thinking construction firms will be better placed to capitalise on these emerging trends.
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HSB Construction Insurance
- Rising wages pointing to an emerging shortage of builders | Irish Independent
- Skills shortage in Ireland revealed | Building Engineer
- The Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland - Tender Price Index July 2024
- The Irish Times view on prices in Ireland: the cost-of-living squeeze continues | The Irish Times
- UK Gardaí believe two separate organised crime gangs are behind a nationwide theft of power tools | Irish Independent
- 7 in 10 tradespeople have had their tools stolen according to research | Specify Magazine
- Build Digital published templates and supports to assist the sector in meeting BIM mandate requirements | Irish Construction News
- Barriers to BIM implementation for cost management in the Irish construction industry | School of Surveying and Construction Innovation, Technical University College Dublin
- Coalition sets new housing targets to 2030 | The Ireland News
- Ireland prefabricated construction industry report | Business Wire
- Central Bank warns housing supply needs to increase by 20,000 a year | Irish Examiner
- Is 3D concrete printing the future? | PBC Today
- Ireland is projected to exceed its National and EU climate targets | The Environmental Protection Agency
- Ireland facing ‘at least’ €8.2bn in climate fines if it misses 2030 targets | Business Post
- Ireland’s first 3D printed homes being built in Dundalk | RTE
- Irish construction output falls the most in 3 years | Trading Economics
- Irish Construction Industry Report 2024 | Business Wire
- Irish housing completions forecast to be strongest among 19 European countries | EY-Euroconstruct